Publication:
Forecasting the integration of immigrants

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URI: https://hdl.handle.net/10016/34625
ISSN: 0022-250X
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/0022250X.2017.1323207
UXXI: AR/0000020145
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forecasting_JMS_2017_ps.pdf (1.14 MB)
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2017-04-01
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Routledge
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In this research, we develop and introduce a theoretical and mathematical forecasting framework of immigrant integration using immigrant density as a single driver. First, we introduce the integration concepts we aim at forecasting. Thereafter, we introduce a theoretical and mathematical model of the relationship between integration and immigrant density. Based on this model, we develop a methodological forecasting framework. We test the framework using immigrant integration data from Spain. We produce the forecasts, and conduct the proper evaluation of them. Finally, we conclude with a brief discussion of the wider implications of our results.
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Forecasting, Immigrant density, Immigration, Social and labor-market integration, Statistical-mechanics, Intermarriage, Assimilation, Population, Dynamics, Patterns, Spain
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Contucci, P., Sandell, R.& Seyedi, S. (2017). Forecasting the integration of immigrants. The Journal of Mathematical Sociology, 41 (2), pp. 127-137
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