Publication: Generalizing predictive models of admission test success based on online interactions
dc.affiliation.dpto | UC3M. Departamento de Ingeniería Telemática | es |
dc.affiliation.grupoinv | UC3M. Grupo de Investigación: Aplicaciones y Servicios Telemáticos (GAST) | es |
dc.contributor.author | Moreno-Marcos, Pedro Manuel | |
dc.contributor.author | Laet, Tinne De | |
dc.contributor.author | Muñoz Merino, Pedro José | |
dc.contributor.author | Soom, Carolien Van | |
dc.contributor.author | Broos, Tom | |
dc.contributor.author | Verbert, Katrien | |
dc.contributor.author | Delgado Kloos, Carlos | |
dc.contributor.funder | Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad (España) | es |
dc.date.accessioned | 2020-05-25T08:57:09Z | |
dc.date.available | 2020-05-25T08:57:09Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2019-09-10 | |
dc.description | This article belongs to the Special Issue Sustainability of Learning Analytics | en |
dc.description.abstract | To start medical or dentistry studies in Flanders, prospective students need to pass a central admission test. A blended program with four Small Private Online Courses (SPOCs) was designed to support those students. The logs from the platform provide an opportunity to delve into the learners' interactions and to develop predictive models to forecast success in the test. Moreover, the use of different courses allows analyzing how models can generalize across courses. This article has the following objectives: (1) to develop and analyze predictive models to forecast who will pass the admission test, (2) to discover which variables have more effect on success in different courses, (3) to analyze to what extent models can be generalized to other courses and subsequent cohorts, and (4) to discuss the conditions to achieve generalizability. The results show that the average grade in SPOC exercises using only first attempts is the best predictor and that it is possible to transfer predictive models with enough reliability when some context-related conditions are met. The best performance is achieved when transferring within the same cohort to other SPOCs in a similar context. The performance is still acceptable in a consecutive edition of a course. These findings support the sustainability of predictive models. | en |
dc.description.sponsorship | This work was partially funded by the LALA project (grant no. 586120-EPP-1-2017-1-ES-EPPKA2-CBHE-JP). The LALA project has been funded with support from the European Commission. In addition, this work has been partially funded by FEDER/Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovación y Universidades—Agencia Estatal de Investigación/project Smartlet (TIN2017-85179-C3-1-R) and by the Madrid Regional Government through the project e-Madrid-CM (S2018/TCS-4307). The latter is also cofinanced by the Structural Funds (FSE and FEDER). It has also been supported by the Spanish Ministry of Science, Innovation, and Universities, under an FPU fellowship (FPU016/00526) | en |
dc.format.extent | 19 | |
dc.identifier.bibliographicCitation | Moreno-Marcos PM... [et al.]. Generalizing Predictive Models of Admission Test Success Based on Online Interactions. Sustainability. 2019; 11(18):4940. | en |
dc.identifier.doi | https://doi.org/10.3390/su11184940 | |
dc.identifier.issn | 2071-1050 | |
dc.identifier.publicationfirstpage | 1 | |
dc.identifier.publicationissue | 18 | |
dc.identifier.publicationlastpage | 19 | |
dc.identifier.publicationtitle | Sustainability (Switzerland) | en |
dc.identifier.publicationvolume | 11 | |
dc.identifier.uri | https://hdl.handle.net/10016/30485 | |
dc.identifier.uxxi | AR/0000024614 | |
dc.language.iso | eng | en |
dc.publisher | MDPI | en |
dc.relation.projectID | Gobierno de España. TIN2017-85179-C3-1-R | es |
dc.relation.projectID | Comunidad de Madrid. S2018/TCS-4307 | es |
dc.rights | © 2019 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. | en |
dc.rights | Atribución 3.0 España | * |
dc.rights.accessRights | open access | en |
dc.rights.uri | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/es/ | * |
dc.subject.eciencia | Telecomunicaciones | es |
dc.subject.other | Generalizability | en |
dc.subject.other | Indicators | en |
dc.subject.other | Learners' Success | en |
dc.subject.other | Learning Analytics | en |
dc.subject.other | Prediction | en |
dc.subject.other | Spocs | en |
dc.title | Generalizing predictive models of admission test success based on online interactions | en |
dc.type | research article | * |
dc.type.hasVersion | VoR | * |
dspace.entity.type | Publication |
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