Publication:
Who quits next? Firm growth in growing economies

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2019-01-01
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Wiley
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Abstract
We document novel facts about the relationship between aggregate growth and firm dynamics using a large set of countries. We argue that firm employment patterns are not necessarily informative about cross-country differences in aggregate growth because they are induced by changes in the productivity of a firm relative to others. In contrast, aggregate growth is linked to average firm-level productivity growth and firm age. We formalize this intuition through a tractable model of endogenous aggregate growth and firm dynamics where firms realize positive returns to investment with some probability. We find that cross-country disparities in this probability can account for two-thirds of the variation in aggregate growth.
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Firm dynamics, Productivity, Selection, Economic growth, Cross-country data
Bibliographic citation
Caunedo, J., & Yurdagul, E. (2018). Who quits next? Firm growth in growing economies. Economic Inquiry, 57 (1), pp. 33-49