Tena Horrillo, Juan de DiosOtranto, Edoardo2006-11-092006-11-092006-04https://hdl.handle.net/10016/238This paper is an empirical analysis of the manner in which official interest rates are determined by the Bank of England. We use a nonlinear framework that allow for the separate study of factors affecting the magnitude of positive and negative interest rate changes as well as their probabilities. Using this approach, new kinds of monetary shocks are defined and used to evaluate their impact on the UK economy. Among them, unanticipated negative interest rate changes are especially important. The model generalizes previous approaches in the literature and provides a rich methodology to understand central banks' decisions and their consequences.360610 bytesapplication/pdfengworking paperEstadísticaopen accessws062007