Da Silva Neto, Anibal EmilianoGonzalo, JesúsPitarakis, Jean-YvesUniversidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía2020-12-092020-12-092020-12-092340-5031https://hdl.handle.net/10016/31555We introduce a set of test statistics for assessing the presence of regimes in out of sample forecast errors produced by recursively estimated linear predictive regressions that can accommodate multiple highly persistent predictors. Our tests statistics are designed to be robust to the chosen starting window size and are shown to be both consistent and locally powerful. Their limiting none distributionsare also free of nuisance parameters and hence robust to the degree of persistence of the predictors.Our methods are subsequently applied to the predictability of the value premium whose dynamics are shown to be characterised by state dependence.engAtribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas 3.0 EspañaPredictive RegressionsPredictabilityOut Of Sample Forecast ErrorsCusumThresholdsworking paperC12C22C53C58DT/0000001857