RT Journal Article T1 Robust Flight Planning Impact Assessment Considering Convective Phenomena A1 García-Heras Carretero, Javier A1 Soler Arnedo, Manuel Fernando A1 González Arribas, Daniel A1 Eschbacher, Kurt A1 Rokitansky, Carl-Herbert A1 Sacher, Daniel A1 Gelhardt, Ulrike A1 Lang, Juergen A1 Hauf, Thomas A1 Simarro, Juan A1 Valenzuela, Alfonso A1 Franco, Antonio A1 Rivas, Damián AB Thunderstorms are one of the leading causes of Air Traffic Management delays. In this paper, we assess how incorporating convective information into flight planning algorithms can lead to reductions in reroutings due to storm encounters during the execution of the flight. We use robust open-loop optimal control methodology at the flight planning level and incorporate meteorological uncertainties based on Ensemble Prediction System forecasts. Convective risk areas can be derived from the latter to be included in the objective function. At the execution level, the planned trajectories are included in an air traffic simulator (NAVSIM) under observed weather (wind and storms). In this simulation process, track modifications might be triggered in case of encountering an observed thunderstorm. A tool termed DIVMET based on pathfinding algorithms has been integrated into NAVSIM is considered to that end. Results show that planning robust trajectories (avoiding thus convective areas) reduces the number of storms encounters and increases predictability. This increase in predictability is at a cost in terms of fuel and time, also quantified. PB Elsevier SN 0968-090X YR 2021 FD 2021-02-05 LK https://hdl.handle.net/10016/32419 UL https://hdl.handle.net/10016/32419 LA eng NO This work has been supported by TBO-MET project (https://tbomet-h2020.com/), which has received funding from the SESAR JU under grant agreement No 699294 under EU’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme. Consortium members are UNIVERSIDAD DE SEVILLA (Coordinator), AEMET (Agencia Española de Meteorología), METEOSOLUTIONS GmbH, PARIS-LODRON-UNIVERSITAT SALZBURG, and UNIVERSIDAD CARLOS III DE MADRID. DS e-Archivo RD 27 jul. 2024