RT Generic
T1 Forecasting from one day to one week ahead for the Spanish system operator
A1 Cancelo, José Ramón
A1 Espasa, Antoni
A1 Grafe, Rosmarie
A2 Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística, 
AB This paper discusses the building process and models used by Red Eléctrica de España(REE), the Spanish system operator, in short-term electricity load forecasting. REE'sforecasting system consists of one daily model and 24 hourly models with a commonstructure. There are two types of forecasts of special interest to REE, several days aheadpredictions for daily data and one day ahead hourly forecasts. Accordingly, forecastaccuracy is assessed in terms of their errors. For doing so we analyze historical, realtime forecasting errors for daily and hourly data for the year 2006, and reportforecasting performance by day of the week, time of the year and type of day. Otheraspects of the prediction problem, like the influence of the errors in predictingtemperature on forecasting the load several days ahead, or the need for an adequatetreatment of special days, are also investigated.
YR 2007
FD 2007-12
LK https://hdl.handle.net/10016/1146
UL https://hdl.handle.net/10016/1146
LA eng
LA eng
DS e-Archivo
RD 1 sept. 2024