RT Journal Article T1 Sequential PET/CT with [F-18]-FDG predicts pathological tumor response to preoperative short course radiotherapy with delayed surgery in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer using logistic regression analysis A1 Pecori, Biagio A1 Lastoria, Secondo A1 Caraco, Corradina A1 Celentani, Marco A1 Tatangelo, Fabiana A1 Avallone, Antonio A1 Rega, Daniela A1 De Palma, Giampaolo A1 Mormile, Maria A1 Budillon, Alfredo A1 Muto, Paolo A1 Bianco, Francesco A1 Aloj, Luigi A1 Petrillo, Antonella A1 Delrio, Paolo AB Previous studies indicate that FDG PET/CT may predict pathological response in patients undergoing neoadjuvant chemo-radiotherapy for locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC). Aim of the current study is evaluate if pathological response can be similarly predicted in LARC patients after short course radiation therapy alone. Methods: Thirty-three patients with cT2-3, N0-2, M0 rectal adenocarcinoma treated with hypo fractionated short course neoadjuvant RT (5x5 Gy) with delayed surgery (SCRTDS) were prospectively studied. All patients underwent 3 PET/CT studies at baseline, 10 days from RT end (early), and 53 days from RT end (delayed). Maximal standardized uptake value (SUVmax), mean standardized uptake value (SUVmean) and total lesion glycolysis (TLG) of the primary tumor were measured and recorded at each PET/CT study. We use logistic regression analysis to aggregate different measures of metabolic response to predict the pathological response in the course of SCRTDS. Results: We provide straightforward formulas to classify response and estimate the probability of being a major responder (TRG1-2) or a complete responder (TRG1) for each individual. The formulas are based on the level of TLG at the early PET and on the overall proportional reduction of TLG between baseline and delayed PET studies. Conclusions: This study demonstrates that in the course of SCRTDS it is possible to estimate the probabilities of pathological tumor responses on the basis of PET/CT with FDG. Our formulas make it possible to assess the risks associated to LARC borne by a patient in the course of SCRTDS. These risk assessments can be balanced against other health risks associated with further treatments and can therefore be used to make informed therapy adjustments during SCRTDS. PB PLOS SN 1932-6203 YR 2017 FD 2017-01-06 LK https://hdl.handle.net/10016/38561 UL https://hdl.handle.net/10016/38561 LA eng NO This study was partially supported by a Research Grant to AB from the Italian Ministry of Health (RF-2011-02346914). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript. DS e-Archivo RD 17 jul. 2024