Asymmetric and time-varying error-correction: an application to labour demand in the UK

Abstract

In this paper we compare the asymmetric and time-varying error-correction models that have recently been proposed, and apply these to the case of UK aggregate labour demand. The aim of the paper is to investigate the possible co-existence of time-varying adjustment on the one hand, and constant asymmetric error-correction on the other hand. We find that without allowing for time-varying adjustment variables, the asymmetric error-correction models of Granger and Lee (1989) and Escribano (1986) work well. But once the time-varying adjustment variables are included, the evidence for time-invariant asymmetric adjustment is marginal.