Citation:
Zorrilla-Muñoz, V., Petz, M., & Agulló-Tomás, M. S. (2020). GARCH model to estimate the impact of agricultural greenhouse gas emissions per sociodemographic factors and CAP in Spain. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 23 (3), pp. 4675-4697.
This contribution analyses the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) and focuses on agricultural
emissions in Spain regarding sociodemographic characteristics (age and sex). Spanish
CAP covers emissions regulation based on the application of agriculture managemenThis contribution analyses the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) and focuses on agricultural
emissions in Spain regarding sociodemographic characteristics (age and sex). Spanish
CAP covers emissions regulation based on the application of agriculture management
according to the EU-ETS and agricultural management (soil and energy). The analysis of
the Spanish legal rules and policy identified empirical environmental attitudes as provided
by the EUROSTAT and MINETUR databases between 1990 and 2013. The developed
empirical–analytical GARCH model measures the impact between the soil and energy
management indicators per capita based on CAP (as independent variables) and emissions
per capita (as dependent variable). The selected criteria of the models are sociodemographic
variables corresponding to employee in agriculture: interval of age and sex (total,
men and women who work in agriculture). The research findings demonstrate high significance
between emissions per age interval, sex and total population, and fertilizers, herbicides
and non-renewable energy or gases consumption. The CAP’s proposed use of new
machinery per capita does not influence directly the reduction of emissions. The model
provides a good estimation for discussion about future policy trends of EU’s long-term
objectives for Rural Development Policy related to CAP principles (i.e. fertilizers, pesticides,
land use and energy consumption in crops), the impact of machinery in agriculture
and the open debate of extending work life in agricultural older population.[+][-]