Cita:
Sanchez, M., & Wellschmied, F. (2020). Modeling life-cycle earnings risk with positive and negative shocks. Review of Economic Dynamics, 37, pp. 103-126.
Patrocinador:
Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad (España) Comunidad de Madrid
Agradecimientos:
This paper uses the Sample of Integrated Labour Market Biographies-Regional File 1975-2010, SIAB R 7510. The data was provided via the Cornell Restricted Access Data Center, previous authorization of the Research Data Center of the German Federal Employment Agency at the Institute for Employment Research, under the project 'Labour Income Profiles are not heterogeneous: a European test'. Felix Wellschmied gratefully acknowledges support from the Spanish Ministry of Economics through research grants ECO2014-56384-P, MDM 2014-0431, and Comunidad de Madrid MadEco-CM (S2015/HUM-3444).
Proyecto:
Gobierno de España. ECO2014-56384-P Gobierno de España. MDM-2014-0431 Comunidad de Madrid. S2015/HUM-3444
We estimate explicit age-varying distributions of idiosyncratic persistent and transitory earnings shocks over workers' life-cycles using a German administrative data set. Large positive shocks, both transitory and persistent, are characteristic for the fiWe estimate explicit age-varying distributions of idiosyncratic persistent and transitory earnings shocks over workers' life-cycles using a German administrative data set. Large positive shocks, both transitory and persistent, are characteristic for the first eight years of the working life. After the age of 50, large negative shocks become a major source of earnings risk. Between the ages of 30 and 50, most shocks are small and transitory. Large persistent positive shocks that occur early in the working life help to rationalize large wealth and consumption shares of the top one percent in an incomplete markets model.[+][-]