Characterization and enhancement of flight planning predictability under wind uncertainty

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Show simple item record García-Heras Carretero, Javier Soler Arnedo, Manuel Fernando González Arribas, Daniel 2021-03-08T16:32:53Z 2021-03-08T16:32:53Z 2019-06-17
dc.identifier.bibliographicCitation International journal of aerospace engineering, vol. 2019, article ID 6141452, June 2019, 29 pp.
dc.identifier.issn 1687-5966
dc.description.abstract A novel study is presented aiming at characterizing and illustrating potential enhancements in flight planning predictability due to the effects of wind uncertainty. A robust optimal control methodology is employed to calculate robust flight plans. Wind uncertainty is retrieved out of Ensemble Probabilistic Forecasts. Different wind approximation functions are compared, typifying errors, and illustrating its importance for accurate solving of the robust optimal control problem. A set of key performance indicators is defined for the quantification of uncertainty in terms of flight time and fuel consumption. Two different case studies are presented and discussed. The first one is based on a representative sample of the whole 2016 year for a single origin-destination and a forecast time step of 6 hours. As for the second, we select the most uncertain day together with a multiorigin-destination set of flights with forecast time steps up to 2 days.
dc.description.sponsorship This work is partially supported by the Spanish Government through the project entitled "Analysis and Optimization of Aircraft Trajectories under the Effects of Meteorological Uncertainty-OptMet" (TRA2014-58413-C2-2-R) (
dc.format.extent 29
dc.language.iso eng
dc.publisher Hindawi
dc.rights Copyright © 2019 Javier García-Heras et al.
dc.rights This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
dc.rights Atribución 3.0 España
dc.subject.other Approximation function
dc.subject.other Flight planning
dc.subject.other Forecast time
dc.subject.other Key performance indicators
dc.subject.other Probabilistic forecasts
dc.subject.other Representative sample
dc.subject.other Robust optimal control
dc.subject.other Wind uncertainties
dc.title Characterization and enhancement of flight planning predictability under wind uncertainty
dc.type article
dc.subject.eciencia Aeronáutica
dc.rights.accessRights openAccess
dc.relation.projectID Gobierno de España. TRA2014-58413-C2-2-R-OptMet
dc.type.version publishedVersion
dc.identifier.publicationfirstpage 1
dc.identifier.publicationissue 6141452
dc.identifier.publicationlastpage 29
dc.identifier.publicationtitle International Journal of Aerospace Engineering
dc.identifier.publicationvolume 2019
dc.identifier.uxxi AR/0000024237
dc.contributor.funder Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad (España)
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