Análisis de resultados para apuestas deportivas: tenis

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dc.contributor.advisor Elvira Arregui, Víctor Gómez González, Lourdes 2018-03-09T18:49:05Z 2018-03-09T18:49:05Z 2014-09-24 2014-10-08
dc.description.abstract Nowadays sports is one of the most popular social activities. The combina- tion of sports and betting causes certain excitement in people, but this not always comes along with profits. Numerical models can help predict the outcome of sporting events. The features within these models rely on data associated with the competitors. In this work we propose a system based on results of sporting events, obtaining a number of significant features, that will provide us the information to predict the outcome of a future sporting event, in this case for Tennis, so once we have the outcome probabilities we can bet. As well as using the data such as the players involve in the events, novel features such as the surface are incorporated. This model will be used to simply predict the probability with which a tennis player will win a match, and also in the work we will see the Kelly Criterion, that will help us decide how much money to bet in the future events. We will have a database of all the matches occurred in the latest years of the ATP World Tour, that will give us all the information about the events and of some of the gambling companies, or bookmakers, to compare the different rates given by the bookmakers and decide whether to bet or not. By adding more informative features to the model, we will predict the outcome of future events with highly success.
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf
dc.language.iso eng
dc.rights Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas 3.0 España
dc.subject.other Probabilistic model
dc.subject.other Sporting event
dc.subject.other Kelly Criterion
dc.title Análisis de resultados para apuestas deportivas: tenis
dc.type bachelorThesis
dc.subject.eciencia Estadística
dc.rights.accessRights openAccess Ingeniería de Sistemas de Comunicaciones
dc.contributor.departamento Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Teoría de la Señal y Comunicaciones
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