Sequential arbitrage measurement in bond markets : theory and empirical applications in the Euro-zone

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dc.contributor.author Balbás, Alejandro
dc.contributor.author Peng, Yao
dc.contributor.editor Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Instituto para el Desarrollo Empresarial (INDEM)
dc.date.accessioned 2015-01-15T14:18:32Z
dc.date.available 2015-01-15T14:18:32Z
dc.date.issued 2015-01-14
dc.identifier.issn 1989-8843
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10016/19879
dc.description.abstract We develop a mathematical programing approach in order to measure the arbitrage size in bond markets. Transaction costs may be incorporated. The obtained arbitrage measures have two interesting interpretations: On the one hand they provide the highest available arbitrage profit with respect to the price of the sold (bought) securities. On the other hand they give the minimum relative (per dollar) bid (ask) price modification leading to an arbitrage free market. Moreover, some primal problems lead to optimal arbitrage strategies (if available), while their dual problems generate proxies for the Term Structure of Interest Rates. The developed methodology permits us to implement an empirical test in the Euro-zone during the Euro crisis. Classical literature justifies the relevance of empirical analyses verifying the degree of efficiency during market turmoils. Our empirical study of the German, French and Spanish sovereign bonds markets finds that the main arbitrage opportunities come from the price differences between maturity-matched strips or "On-The-Run Premium" for zero-coupon bonds. When we remove the strips and the zero-coupon bonds the arbitrage still exists in the Spanish market.
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf
dc.language.iso eng
dc.relation.ispartofseries Working paper. Business economic series
dc.relation.ispartofseries 15-01
dc.rights Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas 3.0 España
dc.rights.uri http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/es/
dc.subject.other Portfolio optimization
dc.subject.other Sequential arbitrage measurement
dc.subject.other Pricing error
dc.subject.other Sovereign debt
dc.subject.other Euro crisis
dc.subject.other Unión Europea
dc.title Sequential arbitrage measurement in bond markets : theory and empirical applications in the Euro-zone
dc.type workingPaper
dc.rights.accessRights openAccess
dc.type.version submitedVersion
dc.identifier.uxxi DT/0000001312
dc.identifier.repec id-15-01
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