Publication:
Agricultural productivity shocks, labour reallocation and rural-urban migration in China

dc.affiliation.dptoUC3M. Departamento de Economíaes
dc.contributor.authorMinale, Luigi
dc.contributor.funderMinisterio de Economía y Competitividad (España)es
dc.contributor.funderComunidad de Madrides
dc.date.accessioned2022-05-27T15:58:26Z
dc.date.available2022-05-27T15:58:26Z
dc.date.issued2018-07-01
dc.description.abstractThis article analyses the way households in rural China use rural-urban migration and off-farm work as a response to negative productivity shocks in agriculture. I employ various waves of a longitudinal survey to construct a panel of individual migration and labour supply histories, and match them to detailed weather information, which I use to instrument agricultural productivity. For identification, I exploit the year-by-county variation in growing season rainfalls to explain within-individual changes in labour allocation. Data on days of work supplied to each sector allow to study the responses to weather shocks along both the participation and the intensive margin. Results suggest that farming is reduced by 4.5% and migration increased by about 5% in response to a 1 standard deviation negative rainfall shock. Increase in rural-urban migration derives from both longer spells in the city and from increment in the likelihood to participate in the urban sector. I find interesting heterogeneous response across generations driven by age-specific productivities in the different sectors and migration costs. Finally, land tenure insecurity seems to partially prevent households from freely reallocating labour away from farming in bad times.en
dc.description.sponsorshipI wish to gratefully acknowledge financial support from the Ministerio Economía y Competitividad (Spain), Maria de Maeztu grant (MDM 2014-0431), and the Comunidad de Madrid, MadEco-CM grant (S2015/HUM-3444). en
dc.identifier.bibliographicCitationMinale, L. (2018). Agricultural productivity shocks, labour reallocation and rural–urban migration in China. Journal of Economic Geography, 18 (4), pp. 795-821es
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1093/jeg/lby013
dc.identifier.issn1468-2702
dc.identifier.publicationfirstpage795es
dc.identifier.publicationissue4es
dc.identifier.publicationlastpage821es
dc.identifier.publicationtitleJOURNAL OF ECONOMIC GEOGRAPHYen
dc.identifier.publicationvolume18es
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10016/34927
dc.identifier.uxxiAR/0000021719
dc.language.isoenges
dc.publisherOxford University Pressen
dc.relation.projectIDComunidad de Madrid. S2015/HUM-3444es
dc.relation.projectIDGobierno de España. MDM 2014-0431es
dc.rights© The Author (2018).en
dc.rights.accessRightsopen accessen
dc.subject.ecienciaEconomíaes
dc.subject.jelJ22
dc.subject.jelR23
dc.subject.jelJ61
dc.subject.otherAgricultural productivityen
dc.subject.otherLabour supplyen
dc.subject.otherRural-urban migrationen
dc.subject.otherChinaes
dc.titleAgricultural productivity shocks, labour reallocation and rural-urban migration in Chinaen
dc.typeresearch article*
dc.type.hasVersionAM*
dspace.entity.typePublication
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