Publication:
The policy mood in Spain: the thermostat in a warm climate, 1978-2017

dc.affiliation.dptoUC3M. Departamento de Ciencias Socialeses
dc.contributor.authorBartle, John
dc.contributor.authorBosch, Agusti
dc.contributor.authorOrriols Galve, Lluis
dc.contributor.funderMinisterio de Economía, Industria y Competitividad (España)es
dc.date.accessioned2022-05-16T15:27:29Z
dc.date.available2022-05-16T15:27:29Z
dc.date.issued2020-05-01
dc.description.abstractRepresentative democracies are supposed to be uniquely virtuous in that they ensure that public preferences drive public policy. Dynamic representation is the outcome of a recurring interaction between electorate and parties that can be observed at the macro level. Preferences can shape government policy via two possible mechanisms. ‘Policy accomodation’ suggests that governments respond directly to the electorate’s preferences. ‘Electoral turnover’, on the other hand, assumes that preferences shape policy indirectly. Parties pursue their ideological goals, and public preferences respond ‘thermostatically’ by moving in the opposite direction to policy. This causes voters to switch votes and eventually leads to a turnover of power from one ‘side’ to ‘the other’. In this paper, we estimate preferences for government activity (‘the policy mood’) in Spain between 1978 and 2017. We show that mood responds ‘thermostatically’ to policy. Variations in mood are associated with support for parties. Policy is driven by party control but is not thermostatically responsive to mood. It appears that in Spain – like Britain – dynamic representation can only be achieved by electoral turnover. We consider the implications of this for our understanding of how representation works.en
dc.description.sponsorshipAgusti Bosch acknowledges the funding from the Spanish Ministry of Science through grant number CSO2017-83086-R
dc.identifier.bibliographicCitationBartle J, Bosch A, and Orriols L (2020). The policy mood in Spain: the thermostat in a warm climate, 1978– 2017. European Political Science Review, 12 (2), pp. 133–153.en
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1017/S175577392000003X
dc.identifier.issn1755-7739
dc.identifier.publicationfirstpage133es
dc.identifier.publicationissue2es
dc.identifier.publicationlastpage153es
dc.identifier.publicationtitleEuropean Political Science Reviewes
dc.identifier.publicationvolume12es
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10016/34817
dc.identifier.uxxiAR/0000025135
dc.language.isoenges
dc.publisherCambridge University Presses
dc.relation.projectIDGobierno de España. CSO2017-83086-Res
dc.rights© European Consortium for Political Research 2020.es
dc.rightsAtribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas 3.0 España*
dc.rights.accessRightsopen accesses
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/es/*
dc.subject.ecienciaSociologíaes
dc.subject.otherDynamic representationen
dc.subject.otherPolicy mooden
dc.subject.otherSpainen
dc.subject.otherElectionsen
dc.subject.otherThermostatic modelen
dc.subject.otherMacro polityen
dc.titleThe policy mood in Spain: the thermostat in a warm climate, 1978-2017en
dc.typeresearch article*
dc.type.hasVersionAM*
dspace.entity.typePublication
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