Publication:
Evaluating the impact of the weather conditions on the influenza propagation

dc.affiliation.dptoUC3M. Departamento de Informáticaes
dc.affiliation.grupoinvUC3M. Grupo de Investigación: Arquitectura de Computadores, Comunicaciones y Sistemases
dc.contributor.authorExpósito Singh, David
dc.contributor.authorMarinescu, María Cristina
dc.contributor.authorCarretero Pérez, Jesús
dc.contributor.funderEuropean Commissionen
dc.contributor.funderMinisterio de Economía y Competitividad (España)en
dc.date.accessioned2021-12-20T09:10:59Z
dc.date.available2021-12-20T09:10:59Z
dc.date.issued2020-04-05
dc.description.abstractWe show that the simulation results have the same propagation shape as the weekly influenza rates asrecorded by SISSS. We perform experiments for a realistic scenario based on actual meteorological data from2010-2011, and for synthetic values assumed under simplified predicted climate change conditions. Results show thata diminishing relative humidity of 10% produces an increment of about 1.6% in the final infection rate. The effect oftemperature changes on the infection spread is also noticeable, with a decrease of 1.1% per extra degree.Conclusions: Using a tool like ours could help predict the shape of developing epidemics and its peaks, and wouldpermit to quickly run scenarios to determine the evolution of the epidemic under different conditions. We makeEpiGraph source code and epidemic data publicly availableen
dc.description.sponsorshipThis work has been partially supported by the Spanish “Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad” under the project grant TIN2016-79637-P “Towards Unification of HPC and Big Data paradigms”. The work of Maria-Cristina Marinescu has been partially supported by the H2020 European project GrowSmarter under project grant ref. 646456. The role of both funders was limited to financial support and did not imply participation of any kind in the study and collection, analysis, and interpretation of data, nor in the writing of the manuscripten
dc.format.extent14
dc.identifier.bibliographicCitationSingh, D.E., Marinescu, MC., Carretero, J. et al. Evaluating the impact of the weather conditions on the influenza propagation. BMC Infect Dis 20, 265 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-020-04977-wen
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-020-04977-w
dc.identifier.issn1471-2334
dc.identifier.publicationtitleBMC INFECTIOUS DISEASESen
dc.identifier.publicationvolume20
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10016/33797
dc.identifier.uxxiAR/0000025658
dc.language.isoeng
dc.publisherBMC
dc.relation.projectIDGobierno de España. TIN2016-79637-Pes
dc.relation.projectIDinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/646456en
dc.rights© 2020, The Author(s)en
dc.rightsAtribución 3.0 España
dc.rights.accessRightsopen accessen
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/es/
dc.subject.ecienciaInformáticaes
dc.subject.otherinfluenza epidemicen
dc.subject.othermeteorological modelen
dc.subject.othersimulationen
dc.titleEvaluating the impact of the weather conditions on the influenza propagationen
dc.typeresearch article*
dc.type.hasVersionVoR*
dspace.entity.typePublication
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