Publication: The closed primaries versus the top-two primary
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2013-09-06
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Abstract
The top-two primary recently approved in states like Washington, California, and Alaska eliminates the closed
party primaries and creates instead a single ballot in which the first and second place winners pass to the general
election. We compare the electoral consequences of the top-two primary with those of the closed primaries. We
present a model where each primary procedure induce a sequential game with three stages: candidate-entry
stage, primary election, and general election. We analyze the equilibria of these games and show that the top-two
primary contributes to political moderation and may increase the number of swing states.
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Keywords
Voting system, Closed primaries, Open primaries, Top-two primary, Political moderation, Sequential voting